Away · model win chance 23%
65
Vermont Catamounts
Home · model win chance 77%
74
Preview · Sat 11/21, 7 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $17 · Patrick Gymnasium, Burlington, VT · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:58 PM ET
Brown Bears 6523% to win Vermont Catamounts 7477% to win
UVM -9.0model spread
138.5model total
65possessions

No line yet. Ivy lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 127 rated Ivy players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

BRWNUVM
Net rating-10.1 #286-1.8 #174
Offense96.9 #315108.9 #122
Defense107.1 #197110.7 #272
Tempo69.4 #24566.3 #353
Games this season54
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Ivy lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Brown Bears2169same
Vermont Catamountsnon-Ivy team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.