Away · model win chance 60%
74
Holy Cross Crusaders
Home · model win chance 40%
71
Preview · Wed 11/18, 7 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $26 · Hart Center Arena, Worcester, MA · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:58 PM ET
Brown Bears 7460% to win Holy Cross Crusaders 7140% to win
BRWN -3.1model spread
145.1model total
70possessions

No line yet. Ivy lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 127 rated Ivy players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

BRWNHC
Net rating-10.1 #286-20.0 #355
Offense96.9 #31597.5 #311
Defense107.1 #197117.4 #351
Tempo69.4 #24571.0 #138
Games this season53
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Ivy lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Brown Bears3103same
Holy Cross Crusadersnon-Ivy team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.