Away · model win chance 10%
78
Boise State Broncos
Home · model win chance 90%
93
Preview · Fri 11/20, 9 PM ET · How to watch: YouTube · Tickets from $8 · ExtraMile Arena, Boise, ID · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:59 PM ET
Sam Houston Bearkats 7810% to win Boise State Broncos 9390% to win
BOIS -15.2model spread
171.7model total
76possessions

No line yet. CUSA lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 138 rated CUSA players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

SHSUBOIS
Net rating+3.3 #129+17.8 #43
Offense109.8 #109119.1 #23
Defense106.5 #182101.3 #82
Tempo73.2 #4273.5 #35
Games this season43
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When CUSA lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Sam Houston Bearkats2563-1 h
Boise State Broncosnon-CUSA team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.