Robert Morris Colonials
Neutral · model win chance 47%
67
Preview · Sun 11/22, 2:30 PM ET
· How to watch: TV not listed yet
· The Reef, Jacksonville, FL
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:59 PM ETNMSU -0.9model spread
135.8model total
66possessions
No line yet. CUSA lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Mark Lavrenov NMSU · F
+0.8#32 overall in CUSA
Offensive engine
Jae'Coby Osborne NMSU · F
+2.2#15 offense in CUSA
Defensive anchor
Gabe Pickens NMSU · G
-2.4#120 defense in CUSA
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 138 rated CUSA players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| RMU | NMSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -13.5 #317 | -12.1 #301 |
| Offense | 94.6 #337 | 101.7 #256 |
| Defense | 108.1 #221 | 113.8 #323 |
| Tempo | 68.1 #302 | 68.0 #305 |
| Games this season | 3 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When CUSA lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Morris Colonials | non-CUSA team, not tracked | ||
| New Mexico State Aggies | 2 | 1,486 | +2 h |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.