Georgia State Panthers
Away · model win chance 38%
69
Preview · Fri 11/20, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Pete Mathews Coliseum, Jacksonville, AL
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:59 PM ETJXST -3.7model spread
142.4model total
67possessions
No line yet. CUSA lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Ethan Croley JVST · F
+3.6#10 overall in CUSA
Offensive engine
Kash Polk JVST · F
+1.4#20 offense in CUSA
Defensive anchor
Leon Horner JVST · G
+0.2#48 defense in CUSA
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 138 rated CUSA players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| GAST | JXST | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -4.5 #213 | -4.5 #212 |
| Offense | 104.7 #197 | 102.4 #245 |
| Defense | 109.2 #251 | 106.9 #188 |
| Tempo | 69.2 #256 | 68.5 #285 |
| Games this season | 5 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When CUSA lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia State Panthers | non-CUSA team, not tracked | ||
| Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 2 | 408 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.