Alabama Crimson Tide
Home · model win chance 96%
96
Preview · Tue 11/17, 7:30 PM ET
· How to watch: SECN+
· Tickets from $6
· Coleman Coliseum, Tuscaloosa, AL
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:59 PM ETALA -20.8model spread
172.1model total
79possessions
No line yet. CUSA lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Amir Taylor KENN · F
+6.1#3 overall in CUSA
Offensive engine
Jacoby Hill KENN · G
+1.1#29 offense in CUSA
Defensive anchor
Avery Thomas II KENN · F
+6.5#1 defense in CUSA
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 138 rated CUSA players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| KENN | ALA | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -0.2 #160 | +20.5 #31 |
| Offense | 102.7 #232 | 121.7 #10 |
| Defense | 103.0 #119 | 101.1 #80 |
| Tempo | 74.4 #16 | 75.4 #8 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When CUSA lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kennesaw State Owls | 4 | 179 | -1 h |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | non-CUSA team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.