James Madison Dukes
Away · model win chance 23%
63
Preview · Wed 11/18, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: FloSports
· Tickets from $25
· SECU Arena, Towson, MD
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:36 PM ETTOW -8.9model spread
135.6model total
67possessions
No line yet. CAA lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Caleb Embeya TOW · F
+9.3#2 overall in CAA
Offensive engine
Jaquan Womack TOW · G
+1.9#24 offense in CAA
Defensive anchor
Chike Ndefo TOW · G
+6.2#2 defense in CAA
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 171 rated CAA players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| JMU | TOW | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | +0.1 #155 | +7.9 #89 |
| Offense | 108.4 #131 | 102.9 #228 |
| Defense | 108.3 #225 | 94.9 #30 |
| Tempo | 69.6 #230 | 67.7 #322 |
| Games this season | 3 | 5 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When CAA lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison Dukes | non-CAA team, not tracked | ||
| Towson Tigers | 3 | 0 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.