Drake Bulldogs
Home · model win chance 44%
77
Preview · Thu 11/19, 7:30 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $26
· Knapp Center, Des Moines, IA
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:36 PM ETCOFC -1.7model spread
156.5model total
70possessions
No line yet. CAA lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Braden Pierce COFC · C
+4.7#8 overall in CAA
Offensive engine
Eli Ellis COFC · G
+2.9#9 offense in CAA
Defensive anchor
Max Green COFC · G
+1.9#27 defense in CAA
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 171 rated CAA players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| COFC | DRKE | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | +3.5 #126 | -4.3 #211 |
| Offense | 112.4 #72 | 104.2 #208 |
| Defense | 108.9 #242 | 108.5 #234 |
| Tempo | 71.8 #92 | 69.0 #269 |
| Games this season | 3 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When CAA lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charleston Cougars | 3 | 967 | -1 h |
| Drake Bulldogs | non-CAA team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.