Norfolk State Spartans
Home · model win chance 9%
65
Preview · Sat 11/21, 6 PM ET
· How to watch: MEAC Network
· Joseph G. Echols Hall, Norfolk, VA
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:36 PM ETUNCW -16.0model spread
146.2model total
70possessions
No line yet. CAA lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Patrick Wessler UNCW · C
+12.6#1 overall in CAA
Offensive engine
Gavin Walsh UNCW · F
+2.1#19 offense in CAA
Defensive anchor
Jahnathan Lamothe UNCW · G
+3.3#9 defense in CAA
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 171 rated CAA players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| UNCW | NORF | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | +6.8 #94 | -21.5 #359 |
| Offense | 108.3 #133 | 95.0 #330 |
| Defense | 101.5 #89 | 116.5 #345 |
| Tempo | 71.1 #134 | 69.0 #267 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When CAA lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks | 2 | 291 | same |
| Norfolk State Spartans | non-CAA team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.