Morgan State Bears
Away · model win chance 26%
70
Preview · Wed 11/18, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: FloSports
· Ellis Corbett Sports Center, Greensboro, NC
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:36 PM ETNCAT -7.6model spread
146.6model total
74possessions
No line yet. CAA lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Will Felton NCAT · C
+2.0#23 overall in CAA
Offensive engine
Saxton Simley NCAT · F
+1.0#43 offense in CAA
Defensive anchor
Danny Delgardo III NCAT · G
-0.2#86 defense in CAA
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 171 rated CAA players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| MORG | NCAT | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -12.9 #312 | -8.1 #262 |
| Offense | 92.6 #353 | 101.9 #251 |
| Defense | 105.5 #166 | 110.0 #259 |
| Tempo | 73.0 #45 | 71.3 #116 |
| Games this season | 5 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When CAA lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan State Bears | non-CAA team, not tracked | ||
| North Carolina A&T Aggies | 3 | 0 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.