Away · model win chance 19%
63
South Carolina Gamecocks
Home · model win chance 81%
74
Preview · Wed 11/18, 7 PM ET · How to watch: SEC Network · Tickets from $7 · Colonial Life Arena, Columbia, SC · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:36 PM ET
Elon Phoenix 6319% to win South Carolina Gamecocks 7481% to win
SC -10.7model spread
137.1model total
66possessions

No line yet. CAA lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 171 rated CAA players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

ELONSC
Net rating-1.2 #168+9.7 #82
Offense103.4 #217111.1 #89
Defense104.6 #148101.5 #88
Tempo68.4 #29067.6 #328
Games this season44
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When CAA lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Elon Phoenix4169same
South Carolina Gamecocksnon-CAA team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.