Bowling Green Falcons
Away · model win chance 40%
85
Preview · Tue 11/17, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: FloSports
· Tickets from $23
· Kaplan Arena, Williamsburg, VA
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:36 PM ETW&M -3.1model spread
173.2model total
73possessions
No line yet. CAA lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Brian Carter Jr. W&M · F
+1.7#28 overall in CAA
Offensive engine
Gavin Ward W&M · G
+2.4#15 offense in CAA
Defensive anchor
Jesse McIntosh W&M · G
+1.4#34 defense in CAA
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 171 rated CAA players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| BGSU | W&M | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | +0.3 #152 | -0.8 #165 |
| Offense | 111.3 #87 | 112.8 #68 |
| Defense | 111.0 #277 | 113.7 #321 |
| Tempo | 70.3 #188 | 73.1 #42 |
| Games this season | 3 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When CAA lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Green Falcons | non-CAA team, not tracked | ||
| William & Mary Tribe | 1 short | 509 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.