Away · model win chance 12%
77
Butler Bulldogs
Home · model win chance 88%
91
Preview · Thu 11/19, 7 PM ET · How to watch: truTV · Tickets from $8 · Hinkle Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:36 PM ET
Northeastern Huskies 7712% to win Butler Bulldogs 9188% to win
BTLR -13.9model spread
168.6model total
75possessions

No line yet. CAA lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 171 rated CAA players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

NEBTLR
Net rating-4.6 #215+8.4 #87
Offense108.3 #134111.3 #84
Defense113.0 #301102.9 #115
Tempo72.0 #8073.7 #28
Games this season44
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When CAA lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Northeastern Huskies5805same
Butler Bulldogsnon-CAA team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.