Menlo Oaks
Away · model win chance 0%
53
Home · model win chance 100%
110
Preview · Sun 11/22, 8 PM ET · How to watch: TV not listed yet · Tickets from $29 · University Credit Union Pavilion, Moraga, CA · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:34 AM ET
Menlo Oaks 530% to win Saint Mary's Gaels 110100% to win
SMC -57.3model spread
163.0model total
76possessions

SMC is not Division I, so books don't post this one and the model's number is rough (every non-D-I team shares one pooled rating).

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 133 rated WCC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

MNLOSMC
Net ratingnon-D-I+20.4 #32
Offensenon-D-I121.2 #13
Defensenon-D-I100.9 #79
Temponon-D-I69.7 #224
Games this season2134
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When WCC lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Menlo Oaksnon-MAC team, not tracked
Saint Mary's Gaels1 short0same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.