Pepperdine vs. Oregon prediction: model has Oregon by 16
By Hardwood Bricks staff ·
Pepperdine (2-2) visits Oregon at Matthew Knight Arena in Eugene Sunday at 5 PM ET on B1G+.
Our model makes Oregon a 16.1-point favorite, projecting an 89-73 final, and gives Oregon a 91% chance to win. The betting market has Oregon favored by 12.5 with a total of 155. The model leans Oregon -12.5 and Over 155.
Players to watch: Jahari Williamson of Pepperdine, 14.3 points a game; Alex Constanza of Pepperdine, 12.9 points a game; Anthony Robinson of Pepperdine, 11.8 points a game.
Model makes it ORE -16.1; the market says ORE -12.5. That is 3.6 points of daylight toward ORE, a strong lean on the favorite.
Over 1557.7
Model total 162.7 against a market 155: a big lean to the over by 7.7.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 133 rated WCC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
PEPP
ORE
Net rating
-3.2 #190
+14.3 #62
Offense
107.2 #155
119.7 #21
Defense
110.4 #264
105.4 #165
Tempo
71.2 #123
69.6 #238
Games this season
4
3
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
