Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
Away · model win chance 16%
58
Home · model win chance 84%
70
Preview · Wed 11/18, 10 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $42 · The Sobrato Center, San Francisco, CA · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:34 AM ET
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 5816% to win San Francisco Dons 7084% to win
SF -12.2model spread
128.9model total
66possessions

No line yet. WCC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 133 rated WCC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

ULSF
Net rating-16.6 #340-3.7 #199
Offense90.5 #359102.3 #247
Defense107.1 #200105.9 #173
Tempo67.7 #32569.1 #263
Games this season34
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When WCC lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Louisiana Ragin' Cajunsnon-MAC team, not tracked
San Francisco Dons30same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.