Portland State rolled past San Francisco 84-68 on the road in San Francisco.
Yaroslav Nikonov led Portland State with 27 points and 7 assists. Gustav Knudsen had 25 points and 8 rebounds for San Francisco. Theis, Senegal, native Ismaila Diagne led all players with 11 rebounds for San Francisco.
Portland State had 26 fast-break points to San Francisco's 11. Portland State covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 27.5 points.
Portland State vs. San Francisco prediction: model has San Francisco by 12
Portland State visits San Francisco (3-0) at The Sobrato Center in San Francisco Saturday at 7 PM ET on ESPN+.
Our model makes San Francisco a 12.4-point favorite, projecting a 78-65 final, and gives San Francisco a 85% chance to win. The betting market has San Francisco favored by 8 with a total of 143.5. The model leans San Francisco -8.0 and Under 143.5.
Players to watch: Ben Oosterbaan of San Francisco, 16 points a game; Gustav Knudsen of San Francisco, 10 points a game; Ismaila Diagne of San Francisco, 9.9 points a game.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
PRST 66, SF 77model score
-11.5model spread (home)
142.9model total
27.5points off the final margin
FavoriteSF -8.53.0LostOver 142.50.4Won
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Open (first seen)
-10.5
143.0
our snapshots
Latest
+8.5
156.5
2500
-10000
our snapshots (8 books)
Close
-8.5
142.5
-470
360
DraftKings via ESPN
Margin -16 (home)ATS PRST coveredTotal 152 → over
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
PRST
non-MAC team, not tracked
SF
3
0
–
same
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).
