UC San Diego Tritons
Neutral · model win chance 51%
74
Preview · Sun 11/22, 9:30 PM ET
· How to watch: FloSports
· Tickets from $58
· Acrisure Arena, Palm Springs, CA
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:34 AM ETUCSD -0.4model spread
146.7model total
71possessions
No line yet. WCC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Halvine Dzellat SEA · C
+3.3#21 overall in WCC
Offensive engine
Maleek Arington SEA · G
-0.0#64 offense in WCC
Defensive anchor
Will Heimbrodt SEA · F
+3.0#10 defense in WCC
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 133 rated WCC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| SEA | UCSD | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -4.1 #206 | -3.6 #197 |
| Offense | 98.2 #305 | 106.8 #161 |
| Defense | 102.3 #102 | 110.4 #262 |
| Tempo | 70.8 #153 | 70.8 #157 |
| Games this season | 3 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When WCC lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle U Redhawks | 4 | 1,976 | same |
| UC San Diego Tritons | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.