California Baptist Lancers
Neutral · model win chance 25%
68
Neutral · model win chance 75%
76
Preview · Sat 11/21, 7 PM ET · How to watch: FloSports · Tickets from $58 · Acrisure Arena, Palm Springs, CA · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:34 AM ET
California Baptist Lancers 6825% to win Loyola Marymount Lions 7675% to win
LMU -8.2model spread
143.3model total
66possessions

No line yet. WCC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 133 rated WCC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

CBULMU
Net rating-18.9 #349-6.6 #241
Offense97.6 #309103.5 #216
Defense116.4 #343110.1 #259
Tempo66.8 #34469.9 #216
Games this season44
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When WCC lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
California Baptist Lancersnon-MAC team, not tracked
Loyola Marymount Lions599same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.