Saint Louis Billikens
Away · model win chance 54%
86
Home · model win chance 46%
85
Preview · Fri 11/20, 11 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN2 · Tickets from $92 · University Credit Union Pavilion, Moraga, CA · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:34 AM ET
Saint Louis Billikens 8654% to win Saint Mary's Gaels 8546% to win
SLU -1.3model spread
171.0model total
74possessions

No line yet. WCC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 133 rated WCC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

SLUSMC
Net rating+27.5 #10+20.4 #32
Offense124.7 #3121.2 #13
Defense97.2 #43100.9 #79
Tempo74.3 #1769.7 #224
Games this season34
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When WCC lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Saint Louis Billikensnon-MAC team, not tracked
Saint Mary's Gaels30same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.