Colorado Buffaloes
Home · model win chance 81%
83
Preview · Wed 11/18, 9 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $6
· CU Events Center, Boulder, CO
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:34 AM ETCOLO -10.6model spread
155.8model total
74possessions
No line yet. WCC lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
James O'Donnell PORT · F
+4.4#14 overall in WCC
Offensive engine
Timo George PORT · F
+2.3#19 offense in WCC
Defensive anchor
Dante Censori-Hercules PORT · G
-0.7#78 defense in WCC
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 133 rated WCC players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| PORT | COLO | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -2.2 #181 | +6.6 #96 |
| Offense | 107.4 #150 | 105.3 #183 |
| Defense | 109.6 #256 | 98.7 #54 |
| Tempo | 73.4 #37 | 71.4 #105 |
| Games this season | 5 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When WCC lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Pilots | 4 | 959 | +1 h |
| Colorado Buffaloes | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.