SMU Mustangs
Home · model win chance 86%
86
Preview · Fri 11/20, 8 PM ET
· How to watch: ACCNX
· Tickets from $6
· Moody Coliseum (Dallas), Dallas, TX
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 1:33 PM ETSMU -13.2model spread
157.8model total
68possessions
No line yet. Sun Belt lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Stephen Williams USA · F
+9.3#1 overall in Sun Belt
Offensive engine
Lenni Kunzewitsch USA · F
+1.2#29 offense in Sun Belt
Defensive anchor
Peyton Law USA · F
+2.7#20 defense in Sun Belt
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 187 rated Sun Belt players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| USA | SMU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -1.6 #170 | +12.3 #72 |
| Offense | 111.2 #87 | 115.2 #49 |
| Defense | 112.8 #299 | 102.9 #116 |
| Tempo | 65.3 #364 | 73.6 #31 |
| Games this season | 5 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Sun Belt lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama Jaguars | 2 | 535 | same |
| SMU Mustangs | non-Sun Belt team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.