Virginia Lynchburg Dragons
Away · model win chance 0%
58
Preview · Sat 11/21, 2 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $19
· Atlantic Union Bank Center, Harrisonburg, VA
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
· Share this preview
The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 1:33 PM ETJMU -41.9model spread
158.7model total
76possessions
JMU is not Division I, so books don't post this one and the model's number is rough (every non-D-I team shares one pooled rating).
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Garrett Sundra JMU · F
+6.7#6 overall in Sun Belt
Offensive engine
Adrian Myers JMU · G
+2.9#13 offense in Sun Belt
Defensive anchor
Preston Fowler JMU · F
+1.1#51 defense in Sun Belt
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 187 rated Sun Belt players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| VUL | JMU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | non-D-I | +0.1 #155 |
| Offense | non-D-I | 108.4 #130 |
| Defense | non-D-I | 108.3 #225 |
| Tempo | non-D-I | 69.6 #230 |
| Games this season | 213 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Sun Belt lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Lynchburg Dragons | non-Sun Belt team, not tracked | ||
| James Madison Dukes | 2 | 138 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.