UT Arlington Mavericks
Away · model win chance 53%
73
Preview · Tue 11/17, 8 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Reed Green Coliseum, Hattiesburg, MS
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
· Share this preview
The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 1:33 PM ETUTA -0.9model spread
144.6model total
74possessions
No line yet. Sun Belt lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Mike Montano USM · F
+1.5#36 overall in Sun Belt
Offensive engine
Brandon Weston USM · G
+1.6#24 offense in Sun Belt
Defensive anchor
Isaac Taveras USM · G
+8.1#1 defense in Sun Belt
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 187 rated Sun Belt players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| UTA | USM | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -1.1 #166 | -7.8 #257 |
| Offense | 101.9 #253 | 97.5 #310 |
| Defense | 102.9 #117 | 105.2 #163 |
| Tempo | 72.4 #63 | 71.8 #93 |
| Games this season | 5 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Sun Belt lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| UT Arlington Mavericks | non-Sun Belt team, not tracked | ||
| Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 3 | 524 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.