Valparaiso Beacons
Neutral · model win chance 79%
76
Preview · Sun 11/22, 6 PM ET
· How to watch: TV not listed yet
· Pensacola Bay Center, Pensacola, FL
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
· Share this preview
The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 1:33 PM ETVAL -9.6model spread
142.6model total
70possessions
No line yet. Sun Belt lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Mike Montano USM · F
+1.5#36 overall in Sun Belt
Offensive engine
Brandon Weston USM · G
+1.6#24 offense in Sun Belt
Defensive anchor
Isaac Taveras USM · G
+8.1#1 defense in Sun Belt
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 187 rated Sun Belt players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| USM | VAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -7.8 #257 | +5.9 #105 |
| Offense | 97.5 #310 | 109.3 #118 |
| Defense | 105.2 #163 | 103.4 #126 |
| Tempo | 71.8 #93 | 68.6 #282 |
| Games this season | 4 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Sun Belt lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 0 short | 0 | same |
| Valparaiso Beacons | non-Sun Belt team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.