Away · model win chance 37%
72
Grambling Tigers
Home · model win chance 63%
76
Preview · Thu 11/19, 7 PM ET · How to watch: TV not listed yet · Fredrick C. Hobdy Assembly Center, Grambling, LA · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 1:33 PM ET
Southern Miss Golden Eagles 7237% to win Grambling Tigers 7663% to win
GRAM -3.9model spread
148.4model total
72possessions

No line yet. Sun Belt lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 187 rated Sun Belt players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

USMGRAM
Net rating-7.8 #257-7.8 #259
Offense97.5 #310102.9 #227
Defense105.2 #163110.7 #270
Tempo71.8 #9371.1 #131
Games this season42
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Sun Belt lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Southern Miss Golden Eagles1 short217same
Grambling Tigersnon-Sun Belt team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.