St. Bonaventure Bonnies
Neutral · model win chance 61%
68
Neutral · model win chance 39%
65
Preview · Mon 11/23, 11 AM ET · How to watch: ESPN2 · State Farm Field House, Kissimmee, FL · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 1:33 PM ET
St. Bonaventure Bonnies 6861% to win App State Mountaineers 6539% to win
SBU -3.3model spread
132.8model total
64possessions

No line yet. Sun Belt lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 187 rated Sun Belt players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

SBUAPP
Net rating+11.1 #76+6.0 #102
Offense112.5 #70105.3 #181
Defense101.4 #8599.4 #64
Tempo68.9 #27265.6 #362
Games this season44
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Sun Belt lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
St. Bonaventure Bonniesnon-Sun Belt team, not tracked
App State Mountaineers2547same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.