Away · model win chance 31%
69
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Home · model win chance 69%
75
Preview · Fri 11/20, 7 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Pete Mathews Coliseum, Jacksonville, AL · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 1:33 PM ET
Georgia State Panthers 6931% to win Jacksonville State Gamecocks 7569% to win
JXST -6.0model spread
144.3model total
69possessions

No line yet. Sun Belt lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 187 rated Sun Belt players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

GASTJXST
Net rating-7.8 #260-4.5 #213
Offense102.6 #240102.4 #245
Defense110.4 #263106.9 #188
Tempo70.4 #18268.5 #285
Games this season44
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Sun Belt lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Georgia State Panthers479-1 h
Jacksonville State Gamecocksnon-Sun Belt team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.