Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Away · model win chance 33%
63
Preview · Tue 11/17, 7:30 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $11
· Thomas Assembly Center, Ruston, LA
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 1:33 PM ETLT -5.4model spread
131.7model total
66possessions
No line yet. Sun Belt lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Iyran Francis Jr. LT · F
+4.7#10 overall in Sun Belt
Offensive engine
Braylon Wenger LT · F
+2.1#19 offense in Sun Belt
Defensive anchor
Deven Bates LT · G
+1.4#39 defense in Sun Belt
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 187 rated Sun Belt players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| JXST | LT | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -4.5 #213 | -1.8 #174 |
| Offense | 102.4 #245 | 99.6 #287 |
| Defense | 106.9 #188 | 101.4 #84 |
| Tempo | 68.5 #285 | 68.2 #297 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Sun Belt lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville State Gamecocks | non-Sun Belt team, not tracked | ||
| Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 2 | 217 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.