USC Trojans
Home · model win chance 99%
83
Preview · Sun 11/22, 8 PM ET
· How to watch: B1G+
· Tickets from $9
· Galen Center, Los Angeles, CA
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 1:33 PM ETUSC -27.0model spread
139.1model total
70possessions
No line yet. Sun Belt lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Dani Pounds UL · F
-0.3#76 overall in Sun Belt
Offensive engine
Mekhi Cooper UL · G
-1.6#129 offense in Sun Belt
Defensive anchor
Mikhail Dulkay UL · F
+1.2#46 defense in Sun Belt
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 187 rated Sun Belt players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| UL | USC | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -16.6 #340 | +16.3 #50 |
| Offense | 90.5 #359 | 113.9 #60 |
| Defense | 107.1 #200 | 97.5 #46 |
| Tempo | 67.7 #325 | 73.2 #39 |
| Games this season | 3 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Sun Belt lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | 3 | 347 | -2 h |
| USC Trojans | non-Sun Belt team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.