North Texas Mean Green
Away · model win chance 37%
60
Preview · Fri 11/20, 6:30 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $27
· Holmes Convocation Center, Boone, NC
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 1:33 PM ETAPP -3.9model spread
124.8model total
63possessions
No line yet. Sun Belt lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Chad Moodie APP · F
+4.2#14 overall in Sun Belt
Offensive engine
Ted Neal APP · F
+2.2#18 offense in Sun Belt
Defensive anchor
Ben Kopetzki APP · G
+1.8#33 defense in Sun Belt
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 187 rated Sun Belt players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| UNT | APP | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | +5.2 #110 | +6.0 #102 |
| Offense | 104.9 #192 | 105.3 #181 |
| Defense | 99.7 #66 | 99.4 #64 |
| Tempo | 67.9 #309 | 65.6 #362 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Sun Belt lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Texas Mean Green | non-Sun Belt team, not tracked | ||
| App State Mountaineers | 6 | 83 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.