App State beat Charlotte 66-60 on the road in Charlotte.
Andover, Minnesota, native Ben Kopetzki led App State with 22 points and 4 3-pointers. Keyshuan Tillery had 23 points and 5 3-pointers for Charlotte. Michael Walz led all players with 7 rebounds for Charlotte.
App State covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 8.6 points.
Scoring · App State: Ben Kopetzki 22, Eren Banks 15, Jaylen Colon 15, Chad Moodie 4, Ted Neal 4, Jonathan Moss 4, Andrin Njock 2. Charlotte: Keyshuan Tillery 23, Chaze Harris 11, Dorian Finister 5, Jordi Rodriguez-Stegemeijer 5, Michael Walz 4, Tyler McKinley 4, Arden Conyers 3, Frank Oguche 2, Peyton Marshall 2, Miguel Allen 1.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
APP 65, CLT 68model score
-2.6model spread (home)
133.1model total
8.6points off the final margin
UnderdogAPP +7.54.9WonOver 132.50.6Lost
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Open (first seen)
-9.5
135.5
our snapshots
Latest
+5.5
112.5
600
-1567
our snapshots (8 books)
Close
-7.5
132.5
-360
285
DraftKings via ESPN
Margin -6 (home)ATS APP coveredTotal 126 → under
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
APP
3
322
2
same
CLT
non-Sun Belt team, not tracked
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).
