Charlotte beat Georgia State 77-67 at Halton Arena.
Keyshuan Tillery led Charlotte with 24 points. Houston, Texas, native Jacolb Fredson-Cole had 21 points and 8 rebounds for Georgia State, a game high on the boards.
Charlotte had 40 points in the paint to Georgia State's 22. Georgia State covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 8.2 points.
Scoring · Charlotte: Keyshuan Tillery 24, Miguel Allen 13, Frank Oguche 9, Dorian Finister 8, Dylan Grant 7, Michael Walz 7, Jordi Rodriguez-Stegemeijer 5, Tyler McKinley 2, Jayden Fort 2. Georgia State: Jacolb Fredson-Cole 21, David Thomas 13, Chris Jones 13, Jacob Meyer 11, Jaden Jackson 9.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
GAST 65, CLT 83model score
-18.2model spread (home)
147.8model total
8.2points off the final margin
FavoriteCLT -11.56.7LostOver 143.54.3Won
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Close
-11.5
143.5
-750
525
DraftKings via ESPN
Margin +10 (home)ATS GAST coveredTotal 144 → over
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
GAST
2
226
1
same
CLT
non-Sun Belt team, not tracked
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).
