Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Away · model win chance 42%
76
Preview · Tue 11/17, 8 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $30
· Jack and Ruth Ann Hill Convocation Center, Statesboro, GA
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 1:33 PM ETGASO -2.4model spread
155.2model total
72possessions
No line yet. Sun Belt lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Dallas Gardner GASO · G
+2.3#25 overall in Sun Belt
Offensive engine
Jayden Williams GASO · G
+1.8#22 offense in Sun Belt
Defensive anchor
Jeromy Davis GASO · G
+1.5#37 defense in Sun Belt
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 187 rated Sun Belt players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| MTSU | GASO | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -4.8 #219 | -6.9 #249 |
| Offense | 105.7 #175 | 102.3 #246 |
| Defense | 110.5 #265 | 109.2 #251 |
| Tempo | 69.3 #255 | 73.0 #49 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Sun Belt lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | non-Sun Belt team, not tracked | ||
| Georgia Southern Eagles | 3 | 271 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.