Coastal Carolina vs. Wisconsin prediction: model has Wisconsin by 20
By Hardwood Bricks staff ·
Coastal Carolina (2-2) visits Wisconsin at Kohl Center in Madison Sunday at 8 PM ET on BTN.
Our model makes Wisconsin a 20.3-point favorite, projecting an 82-62 final, and gives Wisconsin a 96% chance to win. The betting market has Wisconsin favored by 27.5 with a total of 147.5. The model leans Coastal Carolina +27.5 and Under 147.5.
Players to watch: Darius Washington III of Coastal Carolina, 8.5 points a game; Jaylen Cross of Coastal Carolina, 7.8 points a game; Tristan Thompson of Coastal Carolina, 6.1 points a game.
Coastal Carolina traveled about 848 miles to Madison and crossed 1.0 time zone.
Model makes it WIS -20.3; the market says WIS -27.5. That is 7.2 points of daylight toward CCU, a big lean on the underdog.
Under 147.52.9
Model total 144.6 against a market 147.5: a lean lean to the under by 2.9.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 187 rated Sun Belt players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
CCU
WIS
Net rating
-8.3 #265
+14.5 #60
Offense
98.0 #308
111.5 #82
Defense
106.4 #180
97.0 #41
Tempo
70.9 #148
71.3 #115
Games this season
4
3
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
