Virginia Cavaliers
Home · model win chance 93%
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Preview · Tue 11/17, 9 PM ET
· How to watch: ACC Network
· Tickets from $5
· John Paul Jones Arena, Charlottesville, VA
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 1:33 PM ETUVA -17.6model spread
147.3model total
70possessions
No line yet. Sun Belt lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Jared Turner ODU · F
+8.3#2 overall in Sun Belt
Offensive engine
Kylan Howze ODU · F
+4.9#3 offense in Sun Belt
Defensive anchor
Zamoku Weluche-Ume ODU · F
+5.0#6 defense in Sun Belt
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 187 rated Sun Belt players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| ODU | UVA | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | +3.2 #129 | +23.1 #23 |
| Offense | 105.2 #187 | 119.7 #20 |
| Defense | 101.9 #95 | 96.6 #38 |
| Tempo | 68.4 #291 | 71.6 #97 |
| Games this season | 5 | 5 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Sun Belt lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Old Dominion Monarchs | 2 | 145 | same |
| Virginia Cavaliers | non-Sun Belt team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.