Cal State Northridge Matadors
Away · model win chance 43%
74
Preview · Tue 11/17, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $14
· Trojan Arena, Troy, AL
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 1:33 PM ETTROY -2.1model spread
149.1model total
71possessions
No line yet. Sun Belt lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Kerrington Kiel TROY · F
+2.5#24 overall in Sun Belt
Offensive engine
Sam Walters TROY · F
+3.4#8 offense in Sun Belt
Defensive anchor
Donovan Oday TROY · G
+3.6#11 defense in Sun Belt
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 187 rated Sun Belt players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| CSUN | TROY | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -3.7 #200 | -6.2 #235 |
| Offense | 102.7 #236 | 102.8 #230 |
| Defense | 106.4 #181 | 109.0 #245 |
| Tempo | 74.9 #11 | 66.8 #346 |
| Games this season | 3 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Sun Belt lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | non-Sun Belt team, not tracked | ||
| Troy Trojans | 3 | 502 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.