Away · model win chance 0%
61
LSU Tigers
Home · model win chance 100%
93
Preview · Wed 11/18, 8 PM ET · How to watch: SECN+ · Tickets from $5 · Pete Maravich Assembly Center, Baton Rouge, LA · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 1:33 PM ET
UL Monroe Warhawks 610% to win LSU Tigers 93100% to win
LSU -32.3model spread
153.9model total
73possessions

No line yet. Sun Belt lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 187 rated Sun Belt players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

ULMLSU
Net rating-13.5 #319+25.5 #17
Offense101.5 #260116.3 #45
Defense115.1 #33390.7 #11
Tempo71.0 #14472.1 #79
Games this season64
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Sun Belt lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
UL Monroe Warhawks1 short153same
LSU Tigersnon-Sun Belt team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.