Toledo Rockets

Away

Home

Final · Mon, Nov 2, 2026 · First National Bank Arena, Jonesboro, AR · attendance 5,486 · ESPN gamecast · Share this box score

Arkansas State edged Toledo 71-70

By Hardwood Bricks staff · Mon, Nov 2, 2026

Arkansas State edged Toledo 71-70 at First National Bank Arena.

St. Cloud, Minnesota, native Tameron Ferguson led Arkansas State with 20 points. Mynor Strong had 18 points for Toledo. Jaylan Ouwinga led all players with 14 rebounds for Toledo.

Arkansas State committed 10 turnovers to Toledo's 16. Toledo covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 8.4 points.

Scoring · Arkansas State: Tameron Ferguson 20, Layne Taylor 13, Jordan Pyke 11, Aaron McGee 11, Amadou Doumbia 5, Royal Blue Smith 5, Delang Muon 3, Aliou Maiga 2, Chaz Watson 1. Toledo: Mynor Strong 18, Jaylan Ouwinga 16, Angel Montas Jr. 16, Chris Riddle 5, Will James Jr. 5, Sean Jones 4, Austin Parks 4, Rich Barron 2.

What the model said

Projected that morning with only earlier games

TOL 77, ARST 86model score

-9.4model spread (home)

162.8model total

8.4points off the final margin

FavoriteARST -3.55.9 Lost Under 165.52.7 Won

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.

Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.

Line and result

	Spread (home)	Total	ML home	ML away	Source
Close	-3.5	165.5	-175	145	DraftKings via ESPN

Margin +1 (home) ATS TOL covered Total 141 → under

Travel and rest coming in

Team	Rest days	Miles in	Road streak	Time zone
TOL	non-Sun Belt team, not tracked
ARST	–	0	–	same

Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).

Team stats

Stat	TOL	ARST
FG	29-73	25-70
FG%	40	36
3PT	6-27	11-37
3P%	22	30
FT	6-8	10-23
FT%	75	43
Rebounds	50	46
Offensive rebounds	15	18
Defensive rebounds	35	28
Assists	21	15
Steals	7	12
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers	16	10
Points off turnovers	13	15
Fast break points	9	12
Points in paint	28	26
Fouls	18	15
Largest lead	4	12
Possessions (est.)	77.8	72.9
Points per 100 possessions	90.0	97.4

Possessions = FGA − OREB + TO + 0.475 × FTA.

Toledo Rockets

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	OREB	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	PF
Mynor Strong G	36	18	6-16	3-12	3-4	1	3	2	2	4	0	3
Sean Jones G	33	4	1-6	0-2	2-2	1	4	9	2	0	1	3
Jaylan Ouwinga F	30	16	8-17	0-2	0-0	3	14	1	3	2	0	3
Chris Riddle F	24	5	2-5	1-4	0-0	2	4	5	2	0	1	4
Austin Parks C	17	4	2-4	0-1	0-0	1	4	1	1	0	0	2
Angel Montas Jr.	26	16	7-16	1-2	1-2	5	10	3	1	1	0	1
Will James Jr.	16	5	2-3	1-1	0-0	1	3	0	0	0	0	0
Jaylohn Allen	7	0	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1
Rich Barron	6	2	1-5	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	3	0	0	1
Rashaun Porter	5	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0
Toby Nwokolo	DNP
Marco Mattucci	DNP
Manny Johnson	DNP

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player	MIN	PTS	FG	3PT	FT	OREB	REB	AST	TO	STL	BLK	PF
Tameron Ferguson G	32	20	8-10	3-5	1-4	4	7	3	0	3	0	0
Layne Taylor G	30	13	5-13	3-9	0-0	1	4	4	0	1	0	0
Amadou Doumbia F	25	5	2-10	1-4	0-1	3	9	0	2	2	1	4
Royal Blue Smith G	23	5	2-12	1-5	0-2	2	5	4	0	2	0	1
Delang Muon F	19	3	0-3	0-2	3-4	2	2	1	1	2	1	2
Jordan Pyke	22	11	4-7	1-2	2-6	4	9	2	1	1	1	2
Aaron McGee	16	11	4-7	2-4	1-2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2
Chaz Watson	16	1	0-6	0-6	1-2	0	4	0	2	1	0	2
Aliou Maiga	14	2	0-2	0-0	2-2	1	3	1	1	0	1	2
Grayson Bennett	3	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
CJ Geathers	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Moussa Sy	DNP
Rho Omed	DNP
Diggy Coleman	DNP
Anthony Hester	DNP