Troy at Valparaiso (neutral site)

Sat 11/21, 8 PM ET · Pensacola Bay Center, Pensacola, FL · TV/stream: YouTube ·

Model: VAL -7.9, total 138.2, projected TROY 65, VAL 73, win chance TROY 26% / VAL 74%

Troy 1-3

Scoring 66.0, allowing 78.0 Model: net -6.2 (No. 235 D-I), off No. 230, def No. 245, pace No. 346

Last 4

11/13	at NC State	L 62-81
11/10	vs Loyola Marymount	W 74-69
11/6	at Florida State	L 68-91
11/2	vs Massachusetts	L 60-71

Outside the Missouri Valley: we track this team's results and rating, not its roster. Its record counts the games in our D-I results file.

Valparaiso 2-1, L1

Scoring 77.3, allowing 73.0 Model: net +5.9 (No. 105 D-I), off No. 118, def No. 126, pace No. 282

Valparaiso Beacons traveled about 764 miles to Pensacola.

Last 3

11/11	at South Dakota State	L 69-81
11/6	at Purdue	W 83-80
11/2	vs Western Illinois	W 80-58

Rotation (by minutes)

#	Player	Cl/Ht	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	FG/3P/FT%
2	Rakim Chaney G Rockford, IL · last: 12 pts vs SDST	SO 6' 3"	33.7	19.0	5.7	3.7	51/37/62
13	Carter Hopoi F Tauranga, New Zealand · last: 16 pts vs SDST	SO 6' 11"	27.3	10.7	6.7	1.0	48/17/64
1	Justus McNair G Joliet, IL · last: 4 pts vs SDST	JR 6' 3"	27.0	8.0	3.3	0.7	38/11/54
7	JT Pettigrew F Lisle, IL · last: 15 pts vs SDST	SO 6' 8"	26.0	14.7	5.0	1.0	45/43/59
44	Sader Servilus G Montreal, Canada · last: 3 pts vs SDST	SO 6' 4"	24.0	3.3	4.0	0.3	100/–/67
4	Bruno Alocen G Barcelona, Spain · last: 2 pts vs SDST	JR 6' 6"	22.0	4.0	2.7	0.3	30/25/80
0	Rajan Roberts G Chicago, IL · last: 7 pts vs SDST	FR 6' 3"	18.3	6.7	1.0	1.0	33/33/69
23	Terron Garrett G St. Louis, MO · last: 2 pts vs SDST	SO 6' 6"	17.7	4.0	2.0	1.3	29/25/100
12	Kai Yu C Zhuhai, China · last: 0 pts vs SDST	JR 7' 0"	9.3	1.0	1.3	0.7	17/0/50
14	Hudson Scroggins F Lake Bluff, IL · last: 8 pts vs SDST	FR 6' 8"	8.0	3.3	1.7	0.0	75/–/80

* conference game. Stats from ESPN box scores through the last final; model and market from Hardwood Bricks's ratings and our capture of sportsbook lines. Free to use on air and in notes with credit to Hardwood Bricks.