Calumet St. Joseph vs. Valparaiso prediction: model has Valparaiso by 46
By Hardwood Bricks staff ·
Calumet St. Joseph visits Valparaiso (2-1) at Athletics-Recreation Center in Valparaiso Monday at 8 PM ET on ESPN+.
Our model makes Valparaiso a 45.7-point favorite, projecting a 100-54 final. Calumet St. Joseph is not a Division I team, so books don't post a line and the model's number is rough.
Players to watch: JT Pettigrew of Valparaiso, 14.6 points a game; Carter Hopoi of Valparaiso, 10.7 points a game; Sader Servilus of Valparaiso, 3.3 points a game.
Valparaiso traveled about 530 miles to Valparaiso.
The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:02 AM ET
Calumet St. Joseph Crimson Wave540% to winValparaiso Beacons100100% to win
VAL -45.7model spread
153.5model total
74possessions
VAL is not Division I, so books don't post this one and the model's number is rough (every non-D-I team shares one pooled rating).
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 146 rated Missouri Valley players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
CSJ
VAL
Net rating
non-D-I
+5.9 #105
Offense
non-D-I
109.3 #118
Defense
non-D-I
103.4 #126
Tempo
non-D-I
68.6 #282
Games this season
213
3
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
