Oakland beat Northern Iowa 80-76 at OU Credit Union O'rena.
Chris Fields Jr. led Oakland with 22 points and 16 rebounds. Carson Vis had 15 points for Northern Iowa.
Oakland had 38 points in the paint to Northern Iowa's 20. Oakland covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 7.5 points.
In the NBA, former Oakland player Jamal Cain had 0 points for the Magic the night before; former Northern Iowa player AJ Green had 0 points for the Bucks the night before.
Northern Iowa vs. Oakland prediction: model has Northern Iowa by 4
Northern Iowa (2-2) visits Oakland at OU Credit Union O'rena in Rochester Saturday at 5 PM ET on ESPN+.
Our model makes Northern Iowa a 3.5-point favorite, projecting an 86-83 final, and gives Northern Iowa a 62% chance to win. The betting market has Oakland favored by 1 with a total of 158. The model leans Northern Iowa +1.0 and Over 158.
Players to watch: Greyson Uelmen of Northern Iowa, 18.8 points a game; Isaiah Johnson-Arigu of Northern Iowa, 13.1 points a game; Tate McCubbin of Northern Iowa, 10.5 points a game.
Northern Iowa played yesterday and is playing its second straight road game.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
UNI 86, OAK 83model score
+3.5model spread (home)
168.7model total
7.5points off the final margin
UnderdogUNI +1.55.0LostOver 157.511.2Lost
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Open (first seen)
PK
157.5
our snapshots
Latest
+3.5
160.5
280
-344
our snapshots (9 books)
Close
-1.5
157.5
-115
-105
DraftKings via ESPN
Margin +4 (home)ATS OAK coveredTotal 156 → under
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
UNI
0
69
2
+1 h
OAK
non-MAC team, not tracked
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).