Hofstra Pride
Neutral · model win chance 21%
68
Preview · Tue 11/17, 12 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Landers Center, Southaven, MS
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:33 AM ETMUR -9.6model spread
146.3model total
72possessions
No line yet. Missouri Valley lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Brigham Rogers MUR · F
+9.9#1 overall in Missouri Valley
Offensive engine
Brayden Shorter MUR · G
+3.3#5 offense in Missouri Valley
Defensive anchor
Roman Domon MUR · G
+2.5#19 defense in Missouri Valley
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 146 rated Missouri Valley players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| HOF | MUR | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | +0.1 #156 | +13.4 #67 |
| Offense | 102.4 #244 | 112.2 #76 |
| Defense | 102.4 #105 | 98.7 #55 |
| Tempo | 66.8 #345 | 75.3 #9 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Missouri Valley lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hofstra Pride | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
| Murray State Racers | 3 | 147 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.