Missouri State Bears
Home · model win chance 49%
71
Preview · Sat 11/21, 3 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Great Southern Bank Arena, Springfield, MO
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:33 AM ETDRKE -0.4model spread
142.9model total
67possessions
No line yet. Missouri Valley lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Jon Carroll DRKE · F
+3.8#15 overall in Missouri Valley
Offensive engine
Dre Kindell DRKE · G
+0.5#45 offense in Missouri Valley
Defensive anchor
Justin Burns DRKE · F
+1.2#40 defense in Missouri Valley
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 146 rated Missouri Valley players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| DRKE | MOST | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -4.3 #211 | -10.2 #289 |
| Offense | 104.2 #207 | 101.3 #264 |
| Defense | 108.5 #235 | 111.5 #282 |
| Tempo | 69.0 #270 | 68.3 #296 |
| Games this season | 3 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Missouri Valley lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Bulldogs | 1 short | 303 | same |
| Missouri State Bears | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.