Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
Away · model win chance 19%
62
Preview · Wed 11/18, 8 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $15
· Carver Arena, Peoria, IL
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:33 AM ETBRAD -10.6model spread
134.7model total
69possessions
No line yet. Missouri Valley lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Josh Ibukunoluwa BRAD · F
+5.9#4 overall in Missouri Valley
Offensive engine
Trevon Payton BRAD · G
-0.0#66 offense in Missouri Valley
Defensive anchor
Xander Alarie BRAD · F
+6.4#2 defense in Missouri Valley
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 146 rated Missouri Valley players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| PFW | BRAD | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -13.5 #317 | -3.5 #195 |
| Offense | 98.6 #303 | 97.0 #314 |
| Defense | 112.1 #292 | 100.5 #74 |
| Tempo | 71.5 #100 | 67.5 #331 |
| Games this season | 3 | 5 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Missouri Valley lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
| Bradley Braves | 3 | 975 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.