Davidson Wildcats
Neutral · model win chance 65%
74
Preview · Mon 11/23, 11 AM ET
· How to watch: PTB Live
· Tickets from $65
· Suncoast Credit Union Arena, Fort Myers, FL
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:33 AM ETDAV -4.5model spread
144.5model total
67possessions
No line yet. Missouri Valley lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Tate McCubbin UNI · G
+2.6#22 overall in Missouri Valley
Offensive engine
Isaiah Johnson-Arigu UNI · F
+3.8#3 offense in Missouri Valley
Defensive anchor
Levi Valdo UNI · G
-0.3#91 defense in Missouri Valley
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 146 rated Missouri Valley players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| UNI | DAV | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -0.2 #161 | +6.5 #97 |
| Offense | 111.9 #77 | 104.8 #194 |
| Defense | 112.1 #293 | 98.3 #52 |
| Tempo | 70.3 #191 | 67.2 #337 |
| Games this season | 5 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Missouri Valley lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Iowa Panthers | 5 | 1,251 | +1 h |
| Davidson Wildcats | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.