Bellarmine Knights
Away · model win chance 10%
66
Preview · Tue 11/17, 8 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $24
· CEFCU Arena, Normal, IL
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:33 AM ETILST -15.6model spread
148.1model total
65possessions
No line yet. Missouri Valley lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Noah Cleveland ILST · F
+4.4#9 overall in Missouri Valley
Offensive engine
Mason Klabo ILST · G
+2.6#12 offense in Missouri Valley
Defensive anchor
Chase Walker ILST · F
+2.2#23 defense in Missouri Valley
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 146 rated Missouri Valley players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| BELL | ILST | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -14.1 #321 | +4.5 #119 |
| Offense | 105.8 #172 | 109.7 #111 |
| Defense | 119.9 #362 | 105.2 #161 |
| Tempo | 67.5 #330 | 67.6 #326 |
| Games this season | 5 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Missouri Valley lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bellarmine Knights | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
| Illinois State Redbirds | 3 | 587 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.