Liberty Flames
Neutral · model win chance 45%
74
Neutral · model win chance 55%
76
Preview · Tue 11/17, 6 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Curry Arena, Charlotte, NC · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:33 AM ET
Liberty Flames 7445% to win Southern Illinois Salukis 7655% to win
SIU -1.5model spread
150.1model total
67possessions

No line yet. Missouri Valley lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 146 rated Missouri Valley players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

LIBSIU
Net rating+0.3 #153+2.6 #135
Offense112.3 #75107.4 #149
Defense112.0 #290104.8 #150
Tempo66.6 #35170.6 #172
Games this season33
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Missouri Valley lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Liberty Flamesnon-MAC team, not tracked
Southern Illinois Salukis4496+1 h
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.