Liberty Flames
Neutral · model win chance 45%
74
Preview · Tue 11/17, 6 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Curry Arena, Charlotte, NC
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:33 AM ETSIU -1.5model spread
150.1model total
67possessions
No line yet. Missouri Valley lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Max Pikaar SIU · F
+6.7#3 overall in Missouri Valley
Offensive engine
Jaheem Webber SIU · C
+2.8#9 offense in Missouri Valley
Defensive anchor
Luke Susko SIU · G
+1.9#26 defense in Missouri Valley
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 146 rated Missouri Valley players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| LIB | SIU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | +0.3 #153 | +2.6 #135 |
| Offense | 112.3 #75 | 107.4 #149 |
| Defense | 112.0 #290 | 104.8 #150 |
| Tempo | 66.6 #351 | 70.6 #172 |
| Games this season | 3 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Missouri Valley lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty Flames | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
| Southern Illinois Salukis | 4 | 496 | +1 h |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.
Liberty Flames