Union Commonwealth (KY) Bulldogs
Away · model win chance 0%
54
Preview · Wed 11/18, 7:30 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $30
· Curb Event Center Arena, Nashville, TN
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:33 AM ETBEL -45.9model spread
153.8model total
76possessions
BEL is not Division I, so books don't post this one and the model's number is rough (every non-D-I team shares one pooled rating).
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Isaiah West BEL · G
+3.8#16 overall in Missouri Valley
Offensive engine
Vincent Neugebauer BEL · C
+3.1#8 offense in Missouri Valley
Defensive anchor
Aleksa Ristic BEL · G
+1.8#28 defense in Missouri Valley
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 146 rated Missouri Valley players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| UNKY | BEL | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | non-D-I | +4.8 #115 |
| Offense | non-D-I | 106.5 #166 |
| Defense | non-D-I | 101.7 #92 |
| Tempo | non-D-I | 70.4 #186 |
| Games this season | 213 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Missouri Valley lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Commonwealth (KY) Bulldogs | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
| Belmont Bruins | 3 | 0 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.