Belmont beat Furman 72-62 at Curb Event Center Arena.
Oldenburg, Germany, native Vincent Neugebauer led Belmont with 17 points. Cameron Elwer had 13 points for Furman. Nis, Serbia, native Aleksa Ristic led all players with 7 rebounds for Belmont.
Belmont had 40 points in the paint to Furman's 14. Belmont covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 9.1 points.
In the NBA, former Furman player Jalen Slawson had 1 points for the Pacers the night before.
Furman vs. Belmont prediction: model has Belmont by 1
Furman visits Belmont (2-1) at Curb Event Center Arena in Nashville Saturday at 8:30 PM ET on ESPN+.
Our model makes Belmont a 0.8-point favorite, projecting a 76-75 final, and gives Belmont a 53% chance to win. The betting market has Belmont favored by 3 with a total of 155.5. The model leans Furman +3.0 and Under 155.5.
Players to watch: Vincent Neugebauer of Belmont, 9 points a game; Ethan Sage of Belmont, 4.6 points a game; Isaiah West of Belmont, 3.3 points a game.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
FUR 75, BEL 76model score
-0.9model spread (home)
151.2model total
9.1points off the final margin
UnderdogFUR +2.51.6LostUnder 155.54.3Won
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Open (first seen)
-3.0
155.0
our snapshots
Latest
-11.5
134.0
-100000
19900
our snapshots (7 books)
Close
-2.5
155.5
-142
120
DraftKings via ESPN
Margin +10 (home)ATS BEL coveredTotal 134 → under
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
FUR
non-MAC team, not tracked
BEL
3
0
–
same
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).
